Bitcoin's Epic Rebound: From $60K Abyss to $74,500 Target?
The cryptocurrency market experienced heightened volatility last week as Bitcoin plunged sharply through the $70,000 and $60,000 levels before finding firm support at $60,000. From this level, a strong bullish reversal unfolded, with buyers aggressively driving the price up to $71,700 before Bitcoin closed the week slightly lower at $70,315.
This rapid rebound highlights an intense struggle between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears), signalling a critical phase as bulls attempt to reclaim territory lost during the bears’ recent dominance.
Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Following the steep decline, several important resistance levels have emerged. In the short term, $71,800 remains a critical level after recently rejecting upward price action. Above this, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the latest drop sits at $74,500.
A successful move beyond this could see Bitcoin test $79,000, while $84,000 stands out as a formidable resistance zone that would be extremely difficult to break without strong momentum.
On the downside, bulls must defend key support zones to sustain any recovery. Initial support lies at $65,650, with $63,000 providing an additional buffer below. A major support has now formed at $60,000, just above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $57,800.
While $60,000 served as the recent low, $57,800 is considered the true underlying support, with the former acting as a slight front-run of this Fibonacci level. If both fail, the next significant supports are much lower at $44,000 and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement near $39,000.
Technical Indicators and Market Outlook
The short-term outlook is being shaped by key technical indicators. The Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI), which tracks buyer and seller momentum and exhaustion, issued a buy signal on the daily chart—precisely at the $60,000 low. The ensuing rally was strong, and bulls will seek to extend this bounce to confirm a more durable reversal.
However, while MRI buy signals can precede trend changes, they often result in only a one- to four-candle corrective move within a broader trend. If bulls can maintain upward momentum through midweek, a more sustainable daily reversal could emerge, potentially opening the door for a challenge toward the $80,000 level.
Despite the rebound, overall market sentiment remains bearish, reflecting the bears’ recent control of price action.
Looking ahead, analysts expect Bitcoin to enter a consolidation phase. The sharp recovery was aided by the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) reaching oversold levels, but after such a significant drop and rebound, price action is likely to stabilise.
Bitcoin is expected to remain range-bound for the next few weeks, with prices unlikely to exceed $80,000 or fall below $60,000 as the market digests recent volatility and establishes a new equilibrium.
For clarity, bulls refer to market participants expecting higher prices, while bears anticipate declines. Support levels mark areas of buying interest that may halt price falls, while resistance levels indicate zones of selling pressure that can cap rallies. Tools such as RSI, Fibonacci retracements, oscillators, and MRI are commonly used to assess momentum, trend exhaustion, and potential reversal points in price action.
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