Zambia's PF Party Riven by 'Political Genealogy' Battle for Future Leadership!

Published 1 hour ago5 minute read
Pelumi Ilesanmi
Pelumi Ilesanmi
Zambia's PF Party Riven by 'Political Genealogy' Battle for Future Leadership!

The Patriotic Front (PF) stands at a pivotal juncture, facing one of the most consequential decisions in its history. This is not a mere internal leadership contest or a ceremonial exercise, but a moment of political survival demanding a choice between comfort and conquest, internal familiarity and national appeal, and the politics of sentiment versus the politics of victory. Central to this decision are figures like Given Lubinda and Makebi Zulu, with the latter increasingly captivating the national imagination.

For an opposition party aiming to reclaim power, 'sellability' is paramount—it is the political equivalent of oxygen. Emmanuel Mwamba Verified (EMV) polls have underscored this reality, serving as crucial market tests of political appetite. These polls unequivocally indicate that Makebi Zulu is the product the market is responding to. In a recent EMV poll series, Makebi Zulu garnered 40.96% of the vote, significantly outpacing Given Lubinda's 0.60%. The final EMV poll reinforced this, with Makebi dominating online votes at 43.5% and demonstrating deep support in live phone-in segments with 40.1%. Such numbers are not trivial; they represent intentional effort and belief from the public, making them the loudest signal in the political landscape. Ignoring these public signals would be reckless, mistaking internal applause for genuine public support, a path that, in the brutal mathematics of politics, leads to a party's demise.

The ultimate goal for the PF is to win the country, not merely a convention hall. This necessitates a shift from behaving like a club selecting a chairman to a machine preparing to market a presidential brand to millions of Zambians. Politics, fundamentally, is a sales project, and elections are a marketplace where leadership is a product decision. This concept is vividly illustrated by a supermarket analogy: shelves contain familiar products with history, some backed by respected names, yet many gather dust because availability does not equate to demand. A product can be respectable and available, but unsellable if its packaging is tired, its promise weak, or its branding unexciting. In contrast, fresh, distinct, attractive, and compelling products that speak the consumer's language, promising change and results, command attention and generate demand.

This is the precise political dilemma facing the Patriotic Front. Given Lubinda, while familiar and appreciated internally, faces the critical question of external market appeal. The external numbers suggest he may not be able to move the market, inspire appetite beyond party walls, or attract undecided voters and young people. You cannot force consumers to desire a product they have rejected or lecture the market into enthusiasm. Such an approach would be self-harm in a brutal marketplace.

Makebi Zulu, conversely, demonstrates an ability to move the market, with people buying into his brand, tone, discipline, legal sharpness, courage, and national posture. He is emerging as a serious political product with traction, possessing visibility, energy, and an edge that can restore belief. Belief is everything in politics; nobody votes for a product they do not believe in. The choice before PF delegates must therefore be stripped of emotional fog and examined with political ruthlessness. The party is not choosing a pastor but a product for a merciless national market that rewards only what it wants, irrespective of internal appointments, seniority, or gratitude.

Delegates must resist the temptation to vote as beneficiaries and instead act as strategists. Voting for an internally acceptable but externally rejected candidate is not preserving the party but embalming it; choosing sentiment over sellability is not loyalty but an act that helps bury the movement. If the PF chooses a product the market rejects, it will lose. If it mistakes internal availability for national desirability, defeat is inevitable, and deserved.

Makebi Zulu embodies market energy and political freshness, representing continuity with electricity and serving as a bridge between the old guard and future national battles. He is the product with visible public appetite. However, a wise 'Makebi project' must also reassure party elders and veterans, such as Given Lubinda, Jean Kapata, and Professor Nkandu Luo, that their place remains secure. A strong leader builds upon foundations rather than erasing them, protecting and respecting the party's historic faces, senior hands, and institutional memory. Makebi's maturity will be crucial in not only being the sellable product but also a unifying salesman for the entire PF. His demonstrated loyalty, discipline, and seriousness, particularly in defending the Lungu family, position him as a figure capable of protecting the party's past dignity while offering a viable future.

Beyond this critical leadership choice, the broader landscape of Zambian politics faces a common, yet often hypocritical, debate: political migration. Zambian politics has historically been characterized by constant party-switching, not ideological purity. Since 1991, figures across the political spectrum, including current Vice President W.K. Mutale Nalumango, Makebi Zulu, Given Lubinda, and Brian Mundubile, have moved through various political formations. Even the late Anderson Mazoka, founder of the United Party for National Development, once served as an MMD branch chairman. Weaponizing a politician's past affiliations, therefore, is dishonest and politically lazy, as it would disqualify a large portion of Zambia's political elite.

This distraction is particularly disappointing when the opposition should be focused on rebuilding credibility and presenting a coherent national agenda. Many former PF leaders, currently vying for influence, often lack compelling national reasons beyond a desire to return to the privileges of office. Their time in government was frequently associated with significant personal benefits, questionable asset declarations relative to official incomes, and contributions to Zambia's debt burden. The previous system sustained an illusion of prosperity through patronage, with money flowing to cadres, contracts awarded to unqualified political connections, and state resources treated as spoils. This legacy partly explains why some opposition Members of Parliament gravitate toward the ruling establishment today. Among the current contenders, Brian Mundubile has shown a less bitter tone than some competitors, making him a formidable, though not inevitable, leader within the fractured PF landscape.

Ultimately, the nation's concern should be the quality of the political debate, which is currently reduced to trivial questions of

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