2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season [Day 27]. My expectation for this year is 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 majors. So far, 1 named storm, 0 hurricanes, and 0 majors.

Chilly in the Great Lakes in the 40s and 50s. Similar cool temperatures in New England with 60s into NYC.

150 million reach 90°F but that’s not out of the ordinary for late-June. Tolerable heat into D.C. tomorrow around 92°F instead of the low-70s all day with drizzle like today.

Invest 95E (to be Flossie) expected to become a hurricane and parallel the coast of Mexico into the Gulf of California. On the other side of Mexico in the Bay of Campeche, a weak circulation will likely stay over land and limit development. Close but no cigar.

Thank you to readers continuing into this Hurricane Season. My goal is to keep you informed about ongoing extreme weather events inside and outside of the tropics, but also a week (hopefully) heads up on what’s coming. I’ll be using a variety of weather modeling output, some of it may be unfamiliar, but it’s state-of-the-art and industry leading standard.

You can see the pulsing of daytime showers and storms for the next 6-days across the Lower 48. Flossie and the disturbance in the southern Gulf arrive in tandem by Sun/Mon. Heavy showers continue across the northern Gulf near Florida. Maybe watch the Gulf coast for this stationary front to develop a low pressure next week.