. My expectation for this year is 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 majors. So far, 0 named storms, 0 hurricane, and 0 majors.

A ridge has moved from the Plains into the Mid-Atlantic and expanded to encompass much of the U.S. East Coast. The sinking air will be dry and hot with deep layer temperatures well above normal promoting 90s and 100s for a significant population — into next week, but peaking on Tuesday in the big cities.

241 million at/above 90°F is a very high number with much of the eastern half of the U.S. quite hot. However, chilly across the northern Rockies with snowfall in Idaho and Montana at highest elevations.

The heat peaks on Tuesday with almost 32 million at least 100°F including Washington D.C. and NYC

Eventually the ridge will break down and allow for convective daytime thunderstorms to pop again across the Southeast, but the next several days will be hot and dry.

The moisture plume out of the Caribbean rounds the ridge in the Midwest with considerable rainfall for Iowa and Minnesota 2” to 4”+

Thank you to readers continuing into this Hurricane Season. My goal is to keep you informed about ongoing extreme weather events inside and outside of the tropics, but also a week (hopefully) heads up on what’s coming. I’ll be using a variety of weather modeling output, some of it may be unfamiliar, but it’s state-of-the-art and industry leading standard.