Zambia's aspirations for the FIFA World Cup 2026 remain firmly alive, fueled by a crucial 1-0 victory over Tanzania in a tense qualifier at the Benjamin Mkapa Stadium in Dar es Salaam. The decisive goal came in the 74th minute from Fashion Sakala, sealing a vital win for the Chipolopolo boys and positioning them among the early frontrunners in their qualifying group. This triumph further extends Zambia's strong record against the Taifa Stars, reflecting significant progress under the leadership of Coach Avram Grant.

The match itself was a cagey yet entertaining affair, played before a passionate Tanzanian home crowd. Both teams created scoring opportunities but struggled to convert them in the initial stages. The breakthrough moment arrived midway through the second half when captain Lubambo Musonda initiated a swift counterattack, delivering a precise through ball that allowed Sakala to outrun his marker and calmly slot the ball past the onrushing goalkeeper. This goal ignited celebrations among Zambian supporters, as the team then tightened its defensive lines to effectively thwart a late surge from Tanzania, with defenders Kabaso Chongo and Benson Sakala playing instrumental roles in maintaining the clean sheet.

Following the final whistle, Coach Grant lauded his team's discipline and unwavering determination. He remarked, "We knew it would be a tough game away from home, but the boys showed character. Fashion took his chance well, and the defense was outstanding." This victory sets the stage for Zambia's ultimate test: a must-win encounter against Niger. To keep their World Cup dreams on track, Zambia must secure a victory against Niger.

A win against Niger would elevate Zambia to 12 points, while Niger would remain at 12 points. This outcome would likely place Zambia second in Group E, primarily due to an anticipated better goal difference. Finishing second is critical because, while only the group winners advance directly to the 2026 World Cup, the Confederation of African Football (CAF) will select the four best second-placed teams to participate in a crucial playoff round.

Given Eritrea's withdrawal from the qualifiers, Group E comprises only five teams. To ensure fairness in comparing all runners-up across different groups, CAF will utilize a points-per-game (PPG) metric. If Zambia successfully finishes with 12 points from their 8 qualifying games, they will achieve a PPG of 1.5. This specific PPG could potentially be sufficient to secure their spot among Africa's top four second-place teams, thereby advancing them to the playoffs for a coveted World Cup berth. In essence, Zambia's path to the World Cup playoffs hinges on beating Niger, securing 12 points, finishing second in Group E behind Morocco, and then hoping their 1.5 PPG is strong enough to earn them a spot in the final playoff stage.