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XRP ETF Hopes and Fears Ignite: New Proposals, Expert Skepticism, and Dire Predictions

Published 5 days ago3 minute read
David Isong
David Isong
XRP ETF Hopes and Fears Ignite: New Proposals, Expert Skepticism, and Dire Predictions

The landscape of cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is currently a subject of intense debate and anticipation, particularly concerning XRP. While some analysts, such as Bloomberg's Eric Balchunas, clarify that there isn't 'no demand' for XRP ETFs, they acknowledge that demand will be relatively lower compared to Bitcoin ETFs as assets further from Bitcoin generally see less interest. This perspective clashes with others who believe demand is being significantly underestimated.

Evidence suggesting strong underlying demand for XRP includes the CME Group's regulated XRP futures, which rapidly surpassed $1 billion in open interest in under four months, setting a new record for contract speed. Futures-based XRP ETFs have also quickly amassed over $800 million. Nate Geraci, President of NovaDius Wealth Management and a recognized ETF observer, argues that the market is severely underestimating investor demand for spot XRP and Solana (SOL) ETFs, drawing parallels to initial skepticism surrounding Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs which later saw billions in inflows. Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg further supports this bullish outlook, predicting up to $5 billion in inflows for XRP ETFs in their first month, citing XRP's status as the second most recognized cryptocurrency on Wall Street after Bitcoin.

Despite these optimistic projections, not all sentiment is positive. Cryptocurrency analyst Adriano Feria has predicted that the launch of spot XRP ETFs could mark 'the beginning of the end' for the token, believing it will expose a lack of genuine institutional demand. This skepticism is compounded by major players like BlackRock and Fidelity reportedly refraining from filing for XRP ETFs, even as they participate in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and in Fidelity's case, Solana ETF filings. BlackRock has explicitly ruled out an XRP ETF, a potentially worrying sign given its significant influence in the ETF sector.

On the regulatory front, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has repeatedly delayed decisions on various spot XRP ETF proposals, including a recent postponement on August 18. However, this is considered standard practice, and market expectations remain high for spot XRP ETFs to be greenlit this year. Bloomberg analysts previously gave XRP ETFs 'extremely high odds' of approval in 2025, a sentiment echoed by Polymarket bettors, who place the chances of approval this year at 82-86%. Currently, there are 15 pending XRP ETF applications from various issuers including Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, 21Shares, and Grayscale, indicating broad industry interest.

Adding a new dimension to the XRP ETF race, Amplify Investments has submitted a filing for an innovative product. This proposed ETF aims to provide exposure to XRP's price while generating income through the sale of options. Notably, it will not directly hold XRP but will instead invest in other ETFs that track the token's spot price. By selling call options up to 10% above the current price, the fund allows investors to earn premiums. While this strategy offers cushioning against losses and allows investors to retain premiums and underlying gains during small price increases, significant upside is capped at the strike price. Potential risks include general investment risks and XRP-specific factors like high volatility, supply shocks, and network risks.

Beyond XRP, other significant movements are observed in the crypto market. Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been trading in a consistent support loop, near $0.00001238, holding close to its long-tested support at $0.00001159. Chart patterns show rounded consolidations, historically followed by price breakouts towards resistance levels like $0.00001698 and $0.00002052, though previous rallies lost momentum before challenging higher zones. Meanwhile, Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin has made a bold prediction that Ethereum (ETH) will not only increase by 100 times but also eventually 'flip' Bitcoin (BTC) in terms of monetary base, pointing to renewed momentum driven by strategic pivots in related companies.

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