XRP ETF Avalanche: New Proposals Ignite Fierce Debate on Demand and Market Impact

The discourse surrounding the potential demand forXRP Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) is intensifying, with experts offering divergent views on their potential success. While Bloomberg's senior ETF analyst,Eric Balchunas,initially clarified that demand for XRP ETFs would be relatively lower compared to Bitcoin's, other prominent figures vehemently argue that this demand is being significantly underestimated. This vibrant debate unfolds against a backdrop of increasing regulatory scrutiny and numerous pending applications, setting the stage for a critical period for the Ripple-linked cryptocurrency.
Proponents of strong XRP ETF demand point to compelling market indicators that suggest a robust, yet often overlooked, interest. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group's regulated XRP futures, for instance, have set a record by crossing $1 billion in open interest (OI) in less than four months, a testament to their rapid adoption.

Photo Credit: Bitcoin.com.news
Similarly, futures-based XRP ETFs have quickly surpassed $800 million in virtually no time. Nate Geraci, President of NovaDius Wealth Management and a respected ETF observer, has been a vocal advocate, asserting that the market is severely underestimating investor demand for spot XRP ETFs. He draws parallels to the initial skepticism surrounding Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which subsequently witnessed billions in inflows.
Further bolstering the optimistic outlook, Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg has predicted substantial inflows, estimating that XRP ETFs could attract up to $5 billion within their first month post-approval. McClurg highlights XRP's unique position, noting it is considered the second most recognized cryptocurrency on Wall Street after Bitcoin, making it highly resonant with financial professionals. This sentiment aligns with Canary Capital's broader assessment that XRP stands out alongside Bitcoin as an asset that truly appeals to Wall Street pros.
Conversely, some analysts remain cautious about the future performance of XRP ETFs. Cryptocurrency analyst Adriano Feria posits that the launch of spot XRP ETFs could actually mark "the beginning of the end" for the token, believing it will expose a lack of genuine institutional demand. A notable concern for those in the skeptical camp is the absence of major financial institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity from the XRP ETF race.
BlackRock, a dominant force in the ETF space with its iShares Bitcoin and Ethereum Trusts, has reportedly ruled out filing for an XRP ETF. Fidelity, another significant player in the cryptocurrency ETF sector, has also refrained from filing for an XRP ETF, despite having filed for a Solana-based one. This absence from key market leaders raises questions for some observers regarding the broader institutional appetite for XRP.
The regulatory environment surrounding XRP ETFs is dynamic and closely watched. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)has repeatedly postponed decisions on various spot XRP ETF proposals, including a recent delay on August 18th. However, industry insiders generally consider these delays a standard practice, and the prevailing expectation, supported by Bloomberg analysts and Polymarket bettors, is that spot XRP ETFs have an overwhelmingly high chance (between 82% and 86%) of being approved in either 2024 or 2025.
Currently, the SEC's docket is crowded with 92 crypto ETF filings, demonstrating a broader interest in crypto investment vehicles. Among these, XRP specifically has between seven and fifteen pending applications from prominent issuers such as Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, 21Shares, Grayscale, and WisdomTree, whose decision was also recently pushed back on August 25th.
Beyond traditional spot ETFs, innovative product offerings are emerging in the XRP space. Amplify Investments has submitted a unique XRP ETF filing designed not only to provide investors with exposure to the Ripple-linked cryptocurrency but also to generate income through the sale of options. This fund will not directly hold XRP; instead, it will invest in other ETFs that track the token's spot price.

Photo Credit: FXEmpire
By selling call options, typically up to 10% above the current price, the fund aims to provide investors with a premium earned from these sales. While this strategy caps potential gains if XRP experiences a significant surge, the earned premium acts as a buffer against potential losses during downturns. The U.S. currently hosts only leveraged or futures-based XRP ETFs, such as Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF and ProShares Ultra XRP ETF, highlighting the potential for these new spot-based and income-generating products to diversify investment options.
As the debate rages and the SEC's decision deadlines approach, the future of XRP ETFs hangs in the balance. The consistent calls from experts like Nate Geraci, coupled with the proven success of XRP derivatives and the sheer volume of pending applications, suggest a significant market interest that many believe is being overlooked. Should the SEC finally grant approval, it would not only validate the bullish projections but also definitively resolve the long-standing speculation surrounding institutional demand for XRP, potentially ushering in a new era for the digital asset in traditional finance.
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