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Canada job market trends: Canada's job crisis? Student unemployment skyrockets to 14.2% - is a recession here already? - The Economic Times

Published 12 hours ago3 minute read
Canada’s job crisis? Student unemployment skyrockets to 14.2% — is a recession here already?
Global Desk

Canada's student summer job market is facing significant challenges, with unemployment reaching a concerning 17.4%, the highest since the 2009 recession. Economists view this as a potential recession indicator, as companies cut junior positions amid economic uncertainty. The US trade war, particularly tariffs, exacerbates the situation, deterring firms from hiring.

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However, Statistics Canada’s unemployment rate for the broader “youth” category, which includes all 15- to 24-year-olds, not just students, stood at 14.2% in June, which has increased by 0.7 percentage points from last year and is well above the pre-pandemic average of 10.8% between 2017 and 2019, as reported by CP24.Economists have pointed out that the US trade war has led to the growing student unemployment rate because many companies are choosing not to take on new hires due to the amount of uncertainty that comes with constantly changing US tariffs on Canadian exports to America, according to the report.The director and economist at the Centre for Future Work, Jim Stanford, pointed out that, “This has been a brutal summer for students to look for a job... the openings are just not there,” as quoted by CP24. He explained that, “I think the blame for the high student unemployment rate rests solely at Donald Trump’s doorstep,” adding that, “In the last few months, companies have had no idea where the economy is going. The last thing they’re going to want to do is take on a few extra heads for the summer," as quoted in the report.

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While the border city of Windsor, in Ontario, recorded the highest unemployment rate among all demographics in June with 11.2%, which shows that the tariffs have had a major impact on Canadian industries, as reported by CP24.Even though Stanford isn’t ready to say a recession is guaranteed to happen just yet, he has warned that, “We’ve all been watching for signs that the toll of the Trump tariffs could push Canada into a recession — and if he goes ahead with the 35 per cent tariffs, we could have a recession. Not yet, though," as quoted in the report.A senior economist at job search site Indeed, Brendon Bernard, said there is a "silver lining: the year-over-year increase in the student unemployment rate has narrowed compared to previous years," as quoted by CP24 report. The rate rose from 11.9% in 2023 to 15.8% in 2024, but climbed more modestly this year to 17.4%, reported CP24. Bernard said, “There’s been some caution that employers have undertaken because the situation could go in multiple directions,” as quoted in the report.
Because many companies are cutting costs, and entry-level or short-term roles, like student jobs, are usually the first to go.


Possibly. Economists say youth unemployment often signals broader economic downturns ahead, as per the report.

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