Bitcoin's $111,000 Fortress: TD Cowen Bullish, Eyeing $141,000 by Year-End

Bitcoin's price has stabilized around $111,000 following a period of significant volatility, with analysts from TD Cowen projecting a potential climb to $141,000 by December. In a recent note, the firm underscored the robust resilience of the broader cryptocurrency and Bitcoin ecosystem, demonstrated by the market's swift recovery after a major flash crash.
This flash crash, which occurred earlier in the month, triggered an unprecedented $19 billion in liquidations—marking it as the largest single-day liquidation event in the history of cryptocurrency. The downturn was initially sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of a 100% tariff on imports from China, which caused the total crypto market capitalization to dip by over 10%. Despite the severity of the sell-off, major digital assets like Bitcoin proved remarkably durable; while it briefly plunged by 15%, it managed to close the day down just 8%. TD Cowen noted that most crypto exchanges maintained operational stability with minimal disruptions, highlighting the market's capacity to absorb such significant shocks, as reported by The Block.
Beyond market resilience, TD Cowen's analysts also attribute this positive outlook to the burgeoning global adoption of Bitcoin and other digital assets. In Japan, for instance, the number of registered accounts holding digital assets has quadrupled over the past five years, now exceeding 7.9 million. This surge in adoption is prompting Japan’s Financial Services Agency to re-evaluate its long-standing restrictions on traditional banks investing in digital assets like Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's recent recovery to approximately $111,000, after falling into the $104,000 range last week, has been buoyed by renewed corporate accumulation and a surge of optimism surrounding a potential resolution to the U.S. government shutdown. While Bitcoin closed September within its current range, it had previously achieved all-time highs in early October, just prior to the flash crash.
Looking ahead, analysts indicate that key resistance levels for Bitcoin are positioned at $112,000, $115,500, and $117,600. A definitive breakthrough above $122,000 is considered essential to re-establish a bullish market bias. Conversely, support below $105,000 could prove vulnerable, with stronger foundational levels identified between $98,000 and $96,000. The coming week might witness a modest price bounce, but a failure to sustain above $106,900 could pave the way for prices to drop below $100,000, particularly if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) does not implement a significant interest rate cut.
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