Reeves Under Fire: UK Economy Faces Turmoil Post-Budget

Published 2 weeks ago3 minute read
Pelumi Ilesanmi
Pelumi Ilesanmi
Reeves Under Fire: UK Economy Faces Turmoil Post-Budget

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has unveiled a contentious Budget introducing a series of tax increases and threshold freezes, poised to inflict a record burden on Britain and trigger widespread discontent across multiple sectors. Critics label many of these measures "stealth taxes," penalizing those who earn more and creating severe financial cliff edges within the tax system. Analysts project that the first two Budgets under Reeves will raise Britain’s tax bill by £68 billion, making it the largest tax-raising Parliament in history.

Higher earners face a particularly perplexing trap. Those with annual incomes between £100,000 and £125,140 see their personal allowance tapered at a rate of £1 for every £2 earned above £100,000, resulting in an effective 60% marginal tax rate. Estimates indicate that 493,000 additional people will fall into this trap by 2029/30, raising the total affected from 1.8 million to 2.3 million. Stephanie Ebner of Rathbones describes this as one of the most "baffling quirks" in the UK tax code.

The impact is extreme for parents with young children. Families earning above £100,000 risk losing 30 hours a week of free childcare plus a government top-up of up to £2,000 annually. Wealth managers like Quilter highlight anomalies where a 1p salary increase could result in a loss of £38,000 in tax breaks and benefits, creating a unique cliff edge that punishes incremental earnings.

Middle-class families earning around £60,000 also face staggering marginal tax rates due to the High Income Child Benefit Charge and student loan repayments. Parents with three children may see 98.2% of additional earnings absorbed by taxes, meaning for every £100 earned, they may only retain £1.80, showcasing some of the UK’s highest marginal deductions.

Reeves' uncle, Terry Smith, criticized the Budget as overly generous to welfare recipients at the expense of earners, calling it "tax, tax, tax" via sneaky mechanisms like frozen income thresholds. Policies such as National Insurance charges on pension salary sacrifices, higher council taxes for properties over £2 million, and cuts to Cash ISA allowances were cited as examples of unfair redistribution.

Economically, the outlook is bleak. Disposable incomes are projected to grow just 0.5% annually, with the Resolution Foundation estimating that while the poorest may gain £90 from welfare and energy duty adjustments, the richest half of households will lose £1,000 annually. The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) criticized the Budget for failing to address stagnating living standards or boost growth, noting that despite fears of a fiscal deficit, Reeves is on track for a small surplus, suggesting tax hikes were a deliberate policy choice.

The hospitality sector has reacted with outrage. Business rates increases threaten thousands of jobs, with small venues like pubs facing rises up to 300%, while large warehouses such as Amazon enjoy cuts. Publicans report average bills increasing by £6,108.66, calling the Budget a "massive tax rise" and warning of potential job losses.

Welfare spending adjustments, particularly the abolition of the two-child benefit cap, have polarized communities. Residents on streets like James Turner Street in Birmingham express frustration over perceived unfairness, while recipients like Ikram Hassan and Angelina Fosu welcome additional support, underscoring a divided society over the Budget’s priorities.

Financial planners advise strategies to mitigate the impact, such as increased pension contributions, employer salary sacrifice schemes, and charitable donations. However, recent policy changes, including the £2,000 cap on National Insurance-free pension contributions, limit these options.

In conclusion, Rachel Reeves' Budget has ignited a nationwide debate, combining record tax hikes, punishing tax traps for middle and high earners, and perceived welfare-focused redistribution. The backlash from businesses, financial experts, and citizens highlights the profound and divisive implications for the UK’s economy and social landscape.

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