WNBA Finals Frenzy: Playoff Spots Clinched, MVP Race Intensifies as Postseason Nears

As the 2025 WNBA regular season nears its conclusion on September 11, the league is buzzing with intense playoff races and highly contested individual awards. Eight teams will advance to the postseason, which officially opens on September 14, while the Connecticut Sun, Dallas Wings, and Chicago Sky have already been eliminated from contention. The playoff format for 2025 includes a best-of-three first round (1-1-1), best-of-five semifinals (2-2-1), and, for the first time, an expanded best-of-seven WNBA Finals (2-2-1-1-1), with the higher seed hosting more games in each series.
Several teams have already secured their playoff berths, led by the Minnesota Lynx, who have clinched home-court advantage throughout the entire playoffs with a franchise-record 31st win. The Lynx, under long-tenured coach Cheryl Reeve, boast the league's best overall and home record, attributing their success to fan energy and a winning mentality. Other clinched teams include the Las Vegas Aces, who have surged with a 12-game winning streak, the Atlanta Dream, propelled by a six-game winning streak and new coach Karl Smesko, and the Phoenix Mercury, a contender thanks to the additions of Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally.
Meanwhile, five teams are fiercely competing for the final three playoff spots. The Seattle Storm, despite inconsistencies and an early August losing streak, have recovered and hold a strong chance (95.1%). Their pivotal player, Dominique Malonga, has emerged as an indispensable part of their rotation. The Golden State Valkyries have far surpassed preseason expectations, setting a WNBA record for wins by an expansion team (19) and stand a good chance (76.8%) to make the playoffs in their debut season, with Veronica Burton being a key player. The Indiana Fever, facing numerous injuries including limited play from Caitlin Clark, are holding on (88.2%) but face a challenging schedule. The Los Angeles Sparks are making a late push (39.3%) with nine games remaining, emphasizing strong defense and the crucial scoring of Rickea Jackson. The Washington Mystics, featuring rookie All-Stars Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen, are longshots (0.6%) after trading Brittney Sykes and a recent losing streak.
The individual awards races are equally compelling, heavily influenced by player performances and team standings. For **MVP**, Minnesota Lynx forward Napheesa Collier remains the front-runner, despite missing several games due to an ankle injury. Collier, the All-Star Game MVP, is having a career-best season and her team holds a significant lead. Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas has made a strong push, becoming the first WNBA player with triple-doubles in three consecutive games and leading the league in assists. Reigning MVP A'ja Wilson of the Las Vegas Aces is also a strong contender, leading her team on an 11-game winning streak and achieving a historic 30-point, 20-rebound game.
The **Rookie of the Year** award is virtually a lock for Paige Bueckers of the Dallas Wings, who, despite missing seven games, is averaging 18.4 points, 5.4 assists, and 4.0 rebounds, following a trend of No. 1 picks winning the award. Sonia Citron of the Washington Mystics is a top challenger, leading her team in scoring and 3-pointers among rookies.
The **Defensive Player of the Year** race is wide open. Gabby Williams of the Seattle Storm is a top individual defender with the most steals since 2013. Other key contenders include Napheesa Collier, Alyssa Thomas (who has led Phoenix to second in defensive rating), and A'ja Wilson (the league's leading shot blocker).
For **Most Improved Player**, Veronica Burton of the Golden State Valkyries is the front-runner, benefiting from perseverance and opportunity after being waived in 2024. She now averages 11.2 points, 5.2 assists, and 4.3 rebounds. Allisha Gray of the Atlanta Dream and Azura Stevens of the Los Angeles Sparks are also having career-best seasons.
Naz Hillmon of the Atlanta Dream is the **Sixth Player of the Year** front-runner, showcasing a significant improvement in floor-stretching and contributing to her team's impressive net rating. Jessica Shepard of the Minnesota Lynx is a top challenger, known for her efficient scoring and rebounding off the bench.
Finally, Natalie Nakase of the Golden State Valkyries is the front-runner for **Coach of the Year**, having led the expansion Valkyries to potential playoff contention with strong defense. Karl Smesko of the Atlanta Dream is also a top contender, transforming his team's offense in his first WNBA season.
The 2025 WNBA season has been significantly impacted by injuries, with 117 players missing a combined 868 games. High-profile players like Breanna Stewart, Caitlin Clark, Napheesa Collier, and Alyssa Thomas have all faced time on the sidelines. The return of key players, such as Collier for Minnesota, Howard for Atlanta, Wilson for Las Vegas, and Stewart and Jones for New York, is expected to provide significant boosts to their teams' championship chances, as estimated by advanced forecast models. However, some players, like Courtney Vandersloot and Kayla Thornton, will not return this season, and the sustained absence of Caitlin Clark continues to affect the Indiana Fever.
The WNBA playoffs are set to commence with the first round on September 14, followed by semifinals beginning September 21, and the WNBA Finals starting October 3. Key matchups, including the highly anticipated game between MVP candidates A'ja Wilson's Aces and Napheesa Collier's Lynx on September 4, will further shape the final standings and individual award narratives. The expanded Finals format underscores the league's growing prominence, promising an exhilarating postseason.
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