AI 2027, a research-based scenario and report from the AI Futures Project, combines forecasting and storytelling to explore a possible future where .

Some of you will have read this report, or come across it. Lead author, Daniel Kokotajlo, was interviewed by New York Times columnist Ross Douthat and US Vice President JD Vance claims to have read the report. Some of you might not have heard of it yet, or haven’t had the time to dig in…

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The report goes through the creation of AI agents, job loss, the role of AIs improving other AIs (R&D acceleration loops), security crackdowns, misalignment — .

Kokotajlo’s predictions from 2021 (pre-ChatGPT) in What 2026 looks like have proved prescient, and co-author Eli Lifland is among the world’s top forecasters. So even if you don’t end up buying all its claims, the report’s grounding in serious forecaster views, research, and dozens of wargames makes it worth taking seriously.

Containing expert interviews, our analysis, and discussion of what a sane world would be doing, we think the video will be an enjoyable and informative watch whether you’re familiar with the report or not.

The video:

We recommend reading the report as well — it’s shockingly readable for having so much information. But if you don’t have time for that, the video covers its key points in 40 minutes (faster if you speed it up!).

If you’re thinking about a career helping reduce AI risk, we think it’s worth a watch. But even if you’re not, we think it’s time for the broader public to enter the conversation on what fast AI progress could mean and how it could happen, and we’d love your help making that happen.

This is the first longform video from the new 80,000 Hours video programme. We hope you’ll find the video compelling, informative, and enjoyable to watch, and we’d love your feedback on it!

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