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There you have it, folks. America is (for now, still) a free country. In an age of near-zero accountability, pundits like Tyler Cowen are free to go around shouting (without a shred of evidence) that I am “always wrong”, but reality very much appears to be otherwise.

Scaling has run out (like I said it would); models still don’t reason reliably (as anticipated in What to Expect When Your Expecting GPT-4); the financial bubble may be bursting; there still ain’t no GPT-5; Sam Altman can’t be trusted; an overreliance on unreliable LLMs (another longstanding theme here and in Taming Silicon Valley) has indeed gotten the world into deep doodoo. Every one of my 25 predictions for 2025 still seems to be on track.

LLMs are not the way. We definitely need something better.

is looking for serious investors who would be interested in developing alternative, more reliable approaches.