Philanthropy Has an Expiry Date: What Gates' exit, Trump's aid cuts teach us about the impact, innovation
Michael Molenaar is the Manager of Marketing and Communications at KPMG
What happens when the hand that feeds the world pulls back? Not with a bang, but with a farewell letter.
What if the worldโs biggest foundation chose to disappear?
What if a government forced that disappearance overnight?
When Bill Gates announced that the Gates Foundation would dissolve in 20 years, he introduced a bold idea: planned impermanence.
This decision is not the result of a crisis but rather a deliberate one.
This decision presents a challenge to all those who have depended on long-term philanthropyโit goes beyond mere headlines.
Donors, NGOs, businesses, and all those who engage with the global development ecosystem must now face a hard truth: Permanence is not a given.
Dependency is no longer sustainable.
Indeed, philanthropy, once considered limitless, is quietly writing its end.
In contrast, when the Trump administration abruptly slashed billions in foreign aid, from health to climate and humanitarian relief, the world saw what an unplanned withdrawal looks like.
These two different moments and choices couldnโt be more different in tone. But their consequences echo one powerful truth: Impact built on dependency is impact built on quicksand.
๐ ๐ง๐ฎ๐น๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ง๐๐ผ ๐๐
๐ถ๐๐
Gatesโ exit is strategic. A 20-year countdown clock ensures that his billions drive urgency, innovation, and systems that can survive without them.
Trumpโs aid cuts were abrupt. Trump's aid cuts shocked the NGOs, governments, and communities that rely on U.S. funds, exposing the fragility of the global aid architecture.
One was by design. The other was imposed by decree. But both demand the same response: Rethink how we build, fund, and future-proof impact.
1. ๐ฆ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ด๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ปโ๐๐ณ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ๐โ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ
Gates is proving that permanence isnโt the goalโresilience is. Just as startups aim for an exit strategy, philanthropy can provide funding to gradually wind down operations. Done right, a sunset becomes a legacy, not a loss.
On the other hand, Trump's cuts demonstrated the consequences of unplanned exits: disrupted vaccine campaigns, stalled infrastructure projects, and NGOs struggling to survive.
Lesson: Plan your exit before someone else plans it for you.
๐ฎ. ๐๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐โ๐๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐ช๐ต๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐น๐ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ
For decades, many NGOs, particularly in the Global South, built models assuming Gatesโ or U.S. aid would always be there. But aid isnโt a guaranteeโitโs a lever. If you pull back that lever, everything collapses unless you have internal strength.
Lesson: Build autonomy in every program. Treat every grant as temporary.
๐ฏ. ๐จ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ด๐ฎ๐ฐ๐
Gates is giving us 20 years. Trump gave us none. But both moments shout a clear warning: You donโt have time to waste. Whether by strategy or shock, the age of "forever funding" is ending.
Lesson: Speed matters. Agility wins. Impact needs a now-not-later mindset.
๐ฐ. ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐๐ป๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐จ๐ฝโ๐๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐๐ป ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐๐น๐
As public and philanthropic funds pull back or disappear, the private sector canโt afford to treat CSR like a side gig. Itโs time to bake social value into business models, not bolt it on.
Lesson: Build for shared value, not shared credit. Fund like you're preparing to exit, not entrench.
Conclusion
The message is simple: Impact requires more than just money. It requires urgency. Innovation. And, most importantly, an understanding that no modelโno matter how bigโlasts forever.
So, What Now?
The question is no longer just about funding. Itโs about building partnerships that can stand on their own, with or without the worldโs philanthropic giants.
If you're a donor, the Gates model says: Donโt just fundโfuture-proof.
If you're an NGO, Trumpโs aid cuts say: Donโt waitโdiversify.
If you are a business, both situations indicate that you should not fall behind but instead take the lead.
Impact without independence isnโt impactโitโs liability.
Are your programs built to last, or built to end well?
Gates is showing us how to design the endgame. Trump showed us what happens when we donโt.
This is the new frontier of impact: exit as strategy, not surrender.
The future belongs to the builders who plan their exitsโand the partners who survive them.