Illinois vs. Maryland men's basketball how to watch, odds, injuries, series history, and prediction
After a rocky regular season impacted by injuries and illness, Illinois got off to a hot start in the postseason, rolling to a 106-94 win over Iowa on Thursday night in Indianapolis. Brad Underwood’s Fighting Illini had a balanced offensive before against the Hawkeyes with all five starters scoring in double figures and three players, Will Riley, Tre White, and Kylan Boswell with 20-point outings. However, points may not come so easy in the Big Ten quarterfinals where No. 2 seed Maryland awaits on Friday evening.
The Terrapins got to watch and wait for the first two rounds of the conference tourney, courtesy of a 14-6 conference record, second best to regular season champ Michigan State. Kevin Willard has orchestrated an impressive second-year turnaround in College Park behind Big Ten Freshman of the Year, Derik Queen.
. Now, Queen will get his first big postseason test.
Here’s how you can watch this Big Ten Tournament contest on Friday night with a spot in the conference semifinals on the line.
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook
While Maryland’s strength lies on the defensive end of the floor with Queen and Julian Reese acting as deterrents on the interior and Illinois is a gifted offensive team led by efficient scorers Kasparas Jakucionis and Tomislav Ivisic, these teams have one thing in common: pace. Both Kevin Willard and Brad Underwood coach up-tempo styles with both teams comfortably in the upper quartile of the country by any pace or tempo metrics.
This game is likely to turn into a track meet, which could favor the Terps for two reasons. First, Maryland spent Thursday resting and watching while the Fighting Illini were in a shootout with Iowa. And second, because despite pushing the pace so often, Illinois is a more efficient offensive team when it plays in the half-court. Only 11.2% of Illinois’s field goal attempts come in transition, and Underwood’s group shoots just 54.5% on those attempts (39th percentile by CBBanalytics.com). That is quite unfavorable compared both to Illinois’s 59th-percentile field goal percentage on half-court possessions and to Maryland’s 62.3% shooting in transition.
It may be in Illinois’s best interest to slow this game down, but that’s just not in the team’s nature, so expect a high-scoring affair and the Terps to outlast the Illini in the Big Ten quarterfinals on Friday night.