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Breaking down what's in Trump's big policy act and how it will affect Americans

Published 2 days ago6 minute read

Right, and it's not just a big bill. In fact, it is the largest in terms of dollars, in terms of tax cuts and spending cuts in U.S. history. So it's easy to get lost in this, but I think we have found some ways to make it more understandable.

First, let's look at the main blocks in this bill. There's really six of them. Tax cuts, money for the border and for defense, these ones are money going out of the federal government, essentially. Then, bottom, you have reforms and spending cuts. health care, green energy cuts, SNAP food program, and student loans. That's money that would come in.

You put all that together, do the math, and you end up with around $4 trillion in costs for this bill. That does include interest. Now, of course, some of these pieces are bigger than others, so let's look at that with a little bit more depth.

Imagine this bill. This is 100 dots representing 100 percent of the bill, money in and out, so we can compare what's happening in this bill. Let's look at those items we talked about just a minute ago, the border money and DOD, those SNAP cuts, student loan cuts, and then green energy.

You can see that, while they will affect millions, dollar-wise, they're not a huge part of the bill. Let's add something else, the health care cuts for Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act, a little bit more of the bill from that, but really, the giant factor in this bill are the tax cuts right there, more than 60 percent of the bill.

These three dots are other miscellaneous things, but, really, this bill is all about the tax cuts.

Right. We have talked about income before on the show, but it isn't just income, in this bill, literally more than 100 percent of the bill different provisions affecting people.

So we found a way to get it to some of the broad contours of who may gain or lose from this. Let's talk about individuals first. Right now, more taxpayers are individuals and families. You would benefit more as an individual if you earn over $50,000 because of the tax cuts largely.

If you live in a high-tax state, looking at you, New York, you would benefit, because there is that state and local tax deduction in the bill. And if you're a farmer, there are subsidies here for you, and also the estate tax would be expanded on this bill with a higher maximum for that.

You would lose more as an individual if you earn under $18,000, likely losing benefits, potentially. If you work in solar or wind, that is an industry that will face some challenges because of this bill and the cuts. If you're in your 50s and 60s, you would also be affected potentially if you are on Medicaid or SNAP, because the work requirements would be expanded to people who are older now.

One more. Let's talk about families, a little bit different effects. If you're married and wealthy as a family, you're more likely to benefit and if you have younger kids. That's because of the child tax deduction. Also, there's a $1,000 new trust account for kids. And if you own a family business, there's a tax cut or tax deduction in there for you that will be extended.

Now, you will lose as a family if you're a single parent and low-income. You will not be exempted from work requirements in the way that one parent may be in a married family. And if you have college-age kids, because of those student loan changes, there may be fewer student loans and they may be more expensive.

It really will impact people and the economy how this bill is rolled out. So let's just look at kind of a simple timeline and some of the things that are going to impact us immediately.

Look at this, 2025, 2026, these tax cuts will go immediately into place, meaning for this tax year when you file next spring, you can see these tax rates affecting you. Those cuts on taxes on tips and overtime, seniors, all of these tax cuts and extensions going into place now. Only one benefit cut could go into effect this year. That is the SNAP work requirement expansion.

But let's go a little bit farther. Let's skip ahead to 2029. Here is when you will see all of these more benefit cuts go into place, for SNAP, the state costs and these Medicaid cuts. Really will not see the effect next year or the next two years, but it goes into effect starting more 2027.

Let's go farther down the line, look at the very big picture here. Now, you see these tax cuts on tips overtime seniors and car loans. They will end in 2029. Big effect on the economy potentially, but do you notice anything political? How about this? 2026, that's when the next election is. Midterm elections, all of the tax cuts will be in place and very few of the benefit cuts.

That's something Republicans clearly did thinking ahead.

Right. There is a lot. We had to choose just a few, but I wanted to get out the idea that this bill is not just a normal tax cut bill. There is a lot that was put in here that were sort of wish list items for many lawmakers, including ending the silencer tax. Those are suppressors that you can add to a gun to make — that your gun will make less noise when it fires.

There's a tax on that, $200 right now. That will end in this bill. The Kennedy Center gets millions of dollars in this. There's also a provision that would allow funding to move a space shuttle or other space equipment across the country. And this is a President Trump item. The Garden of Heroes is the idea of a statuary garden of different Americans.

Now, these are not minor dollar figures. Ending the silencer tax, that's worth $1.7 billion in federal revenue over 10 years that they're taking out, Kennedy Center getting over $200 million. The space shuttle move, that's $85 million that's just tucked away in this bill, and President Trump's Garden of Heroes, $40 million.

And these are just four of many of the little nuggets that are in this bill.

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