. My expectation for this year is 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 majors. So far, 0 named storms, 0 hurricane, and 0 majors.

Thank you to readers continuing into this Hurricane Season. My goal is to keep you informed about ongoing extreme weather events inside and outside of the tropics, but also a week (hopefully) heads up on what’s coming. I’ll be using a variety of weather modeling output, some of it may be unfamiliar, but it’s state-of-the-art and industry leading standard.

Two areas of cyclonic circulation developed out of the monsoon trough rather close together. Each could become a tropical depression or storm but not much more before reaching cooler water. By later next week, another system is likely to develop, perhaps getting an earlier / eastward start and becoming a hurricane. And, at Day 10, the process repeats a bit further east off Panama coast. See the trend? Maybe then at/after Day 15 or so, the Atlantic can see something develop?