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Japan's Central Banking Summit: Navigating Inflation and Growth Challenges - Conference Overview | The Economic Times

Published 4 days ago4 minute read

Conference Overview

The Bank of Japan, together with its affiliated think tank, is hosting its annual two-day conference in central Tokyo. This exclusive event draws participation from leading figures in global finance, including central bankers and academics from the United States, Europe, and Asia. The main focus this year is on the dual challenges facing economies worldwide: weak economic growth and stubbornly high inflation. (Source: Reuters)

Reuters

The Jackson Hole of the East

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Often described as Japan’s version of the Fed’s Jackson Hole symposium, this Tokyo gathering may not boast scenic views or hiking trails, but it plays an equally critical role in shaping monetary discourse. While the speeches tend to be academic and are largely closed to the media, the conference remains an influential forum for policymakers navigating complex economic conditions.

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2025 Theme — Key Issues

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This year’s central theme is “New Challenges for Monetary Policy.” Discussions will examine how central banks should respond to a new mix of economic pressures—namely persistent inflation, downside risks to growth, volatile financial markets, and the growing impact of U.S. trade tariffs. These overlapping forces are creating a complex environment for decision-makers across the globe.

Reuters

BOJ’s Unique Stance

Unlike many of its global counterparts, the Bank of Japan is currently maintaining a path of modest interest rate hikes and is gradually tapering its bond purchases. However, recent global uncertainties have cast doubt on how long this strategy can continue. Former BOJ official Nobuyasu Atago believes the BOJ doesn't need to abandon rate hikes entirely—it just needs to keep the door open for action when the economic climate is right.

AP

Global Backdrop

This year’s conference brings together policymakers from key institutions such as the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, and Reserve Bank of Australia. All are grappling with the fallout from U.S. tariffs and trade disruptions. These developments are complicating their ability to manage inflation and growth simultaneously, regardless of whether they are tightening or easing monetary policy.

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Spotlight Sessions

Among the most anticipated sessions is one that will explore reserve demand, interest rate control, and quantitative tightening—core issues for many central banks today. Another session will analyse an IMF paper titled “Monetary Policy and Inflation Scares,” which warns that central banks may be underestimating how long inflation can persist after large supply shocks, such as the one caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Policy Dilemmas Around the Globe

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The Federal Reserve, which was earlier expected to continue cutting interest rates, is now taking a more cautious approach as inflationary risks tied to tariffs come into focus. The European Central Bank is still expected to deliver a rate cut in June, but internal discussions are now hinting at a possible pause thereafter. Meanwhile, the BOJ has been forced to revise its economic outlook due to trade-related challenges, suggesting a temporary hold on further rate hikes.

Reuters

Japan’s Inflation Landscape

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Japan is facing a sharp rise in consumer prices, with core inflation climbing to 3.5% in April—the highest in more than two years. Food prices alone jumped by 7%, highlighting the pressure on household budgets. Nobuyasu Atago, now an economist at Rakuten Securities, argues that the BOJ is falling behind in its mandate to maintain price stability and may need to act more decisively in the face of rising domestic price pressures.

AP

Keynote Line-up

The conference opens with a keynote address by BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, followed by a lecture from Agustín Carstens, the general manager of the Bank for International Settlements. These speeches are expected to set the tone for the rest of the event and offer critical insights into the future of global monetary policy coordination.

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Key Takeaways

The BOJ’s conference in Tokyo highlights the balancing act that central banks face today. With inflation running high and global trade tensions rising, monetary authorities must weigh the risks of acting too soon against the dangers of falling behind the curve. As other central banks shift to caution or easing, Japan’s gradual tightening stands as an outlier strategy being watched closely by economists around the world.

(: This slideshow has been sourced from Reuters)

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