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Analysts Raise Earnings Estimates for Bank of Montreal (BMO)

Published 5 days ago5 minute read
Analysts Raise Earnings Estimates for Bank of Montreal (BMO)

Bank of Montreal (NYSE:BMO, TSE:BMO) has been a subject of recent financial attention, with updates on its earnings, stock performance, dividend payouts, and analyst outlooks. This report synthesizes recent developments concerning the North American financial services provider.

Earnings Report: On Wednesday, May 28th, Bank of Montreal released its quarterly earnings data. The bank reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.84 for the quarter, precisely meeting the consensus estimate. However, its revenue for the quarter was $6.32 billion, which was below the consensus estimate of $8.79 billion. Despite this, Bank of Montreal's revenue demonstrated an 8.8% increase on a year-over-year basis. In the same quarter of the previous year, the company had earned $2.59 EPS. The bank also reported a return on equity of 10.18% and a net margin of 9.22%. The consensus estimate for Bank of Montreal's current full-year earnings stands at $7.71 per share.

Stock Performance: As of a recent Monday, shares of BMO stock opened at $107.41. The company's stock has a 50-day moving average price of $97.18 and a 200-day moving average price of $97.88. Over the past 52 weeks, Bank of Montreal's stock has seen a low of $76.98 and a high of $108.38. The firm holds a market capitalization of $77.56 billion. Key financial ratios include a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.39, a price-to-earnings-growth (P/E/G) ratio of 1.43, and a beta of 1.03, indicating its volatility relative to the market. The bank's liquidity is reflected in its quick ratio and current ratio, both at 0.98, and it maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11.

Dividend Increase: Bank of Montreal recently announced an increase in its quarterly dividend. Stockholders of record on Wednesday, July 30th, will receive a dividend of $1.1801 per share, payable on Tuesday, August 26th. This marks a positive change from the previous quarterly dividend of $1.11 per share. The new dividend translates to an annualized payout of $4.72 per share, offering a dividend yield of 4.39%. The ex-dividend date for this payment is Wednesday, July 30th. Bank of Montreal's current dividend payout ratio is 58.75%.

Analyst Ratings and Price Targets: The sentiment among research analysts regarding Bank of Montreal's stock is mixed but leans towards caution. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock currently has an average rating of "Hold" from twelve analysts, with nine issuing a "hold" rating and two providing a "buy" rating. The consensus average price target for BMO is $128.40. Recent analyst actions include: Royal Bank of Canada increased its price target on BMO from $161.00 to $163.00 and maintained an "outperform" rating (February 26th); Wall Street Zen upgraded BMO from a "sell" to a "hold" rating (February 28th); Cibc World Mkts downgraded the bank from "strong-buy" to "hold" (April 4th); Scotiabank initiated coverage with a "sector perform" rating (May 15th); and CIBC restated a "neutral" rating (May 20th).

Analyst EPS Estimate Revisions for FY2025: Several financial analysts have recently revised their earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Bank of Montreal for fiscal year 2025, signaling growing optimism from certain quarters. National Bank Financial's G. Dechaine increased the Q3 2025 EPS estimate to $2.16 per share from $2.12 (May 28th). On the same day, Desjardins' D. Young raised the FY2025 EPS estimate to $8.18 per share from $8.03, also providing a Q4 2025 EPS estimate of $2.04. Furthermore, Cormark's L. Persaud boosted the FY2025 EPS estimate to $8.58 per share from $8.24 on May 29th. These upward revisions for future earnings potential compare favorably against the current full-year consensus earnings estimate of $7.71 per share.

Institutional Ownership: Institutional investors maintain a significant presence in Bank of Montreal's shareholder structure, collectively owning 45.82% of the stock. Recent activities highlight this engagement: Cary Street Partners Investment Advisory LLC grew its holdings by 228.9% in Q1 (273 shares, $26,000); IFP Advisors Inc increased its position by 179.5% in Q4 (313 shares, $30,000); Addison Advisors LLC expanded its stake by 282.8% in Q4 (333 shares, $32,000); Bayforest Capital Ltd initiated a new position in Q1 (valued at $34,000); and Vision Financial Markets LLC also purchased a new stake in Q4 (valued at $39,000). These transactions underscore the active trading and interest from large-scale investors.

Company Profile: Bank of Montreal (BMO) is a major diversified financial services provider operating primarily in North America. Its business is structured across several key segments: Canadian P&C (Personal and Commercial), U.S. P&C, BMO Wealth Management, and BMO Capital Markets. The company offers a comprehensive suite of personal banking products and services, including deposits, mortgages, home lending, consumer credit, small business lending, credit cards, cash management, and financial and investment advice. For its commercial clientele, BMO delivers a variety of financing options, treasury and payment solutions, and risk management products.

Conclusion: Recent financial disclosures and analyst updates present a nuanced view of Bank of Montreal. The bank successfully met EPS expectations in its latest quarterly report and demonstrated year-over-year revenue growth, although it fell short of revenue consensus. The announced increase in its dividend is a positive indicator for shareholders focused on income generation. While analyst ratings predominantly suggest a "Hold" on the stock, the upward revisions to FY2025 EPS forecasts by some firms indicate underlying confidence in its earnings trajectory. Investors will likely continue to closely monitor BMO's performance across its varied segments and its strategic responses to the evolving North American economic landscape.

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