Despite a flurry of behind-the-scenes meetings, influential politicians have largely rebuffed his efforts, leaving the SDP without a viable foothold in key northern states.

“He reached out to key players, especially governors and senators, but none gave him a positive response. Not even a state assembly member,” disclosed a source familiar with the discussions.

El-Rufai’s political troubles began in 2023, when his nomination as a minister under President was derailed, reportedly due to a security report from the Department of State Services (DSS).

That development. On March 10, 2025, El-Rufai officially announced his resignation from the APC, citing a “misalignment between his values and the direction of the party.”

He pledged to turn the SDP into a formidable opposition force ahead of the 2027 elections. But early signs suggest his mission may be faltering.

In Kebbi State alone, efforts to woo prominent figures like Senators and failed. All three reportedly reaffirmed loyalty to the APC. Even an overture to the Governor of Nasarawa State came up short.

“People simply don’t see the SDP led by El-Rufai as a viable alternative at this point,” one insider said.

The SDP's national weakness further compounds El-Rufai’s dilemma. With only two lawmakers in the National Assembly, the party remains a marginal force.

Some observers say the party’s historical ties to President Tinubu, who once ran under its platform in the 1990s, still cast a shadow.

“There’s a general perception in the North that the SDP still carries the legacy of President Tinubu… It’s a hard sell for El-Rufai,” said another source.

In the South, his image remains controversial due to his strong backing of the Muslim-Muslim ticket in 2023.

“He’s seen as too polarising,” noted Adamu Maiyama, an APC chieftain from Kebbi.

Amid the setbacks, El-Rufai recently met with former Vice President . While Atiku reportedly urged him to return to the PDP, El-Rufai instead asked the former VP to join the SDP — a request that sources say was met with hesitation.