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The New Economy: A Future of Micro-Businesses and AI Collaboration

Published 21 hours ago11 minute read

The story of human labor is written in the margins of disruption. Throughout history, entire professions vanished virtually overnight as new technologies rendered them obsolete, leaving behind only echoes of industries that once employed millions.

Consider horse-drawn carriages at the dawn of the 1900s. At its peak in 1915, the U.S. had nearly 26.5 million horses and mules for transportation and labor.1 This massive equine population (representing a horse for every three Americans) required an entire ecosystem of supporting trades and services. As the automotive revolution took hold, however, horses began to lose their primary value to the economy and the population irreversibly shrunk. By 1940, the horse population was half of its peak, and by 1960 bottomed at ~10%. The transition was swift and brutal for the horses, but luckily the automobile industry placed many of these workers in new roles like mechanics, assembly line workers, and automotive engineers.

The printing industry tells a similar story. Before the printing press revolutionized information distribution in the 15th century, armies of scribes spent their lives meticulously copying manuscripts by hand. Within decades of the printing press's invention, this ancient profession had all but disappeared. Again, this transition led to entirely new industries around mass communication, literacy, and knowledge distribution.

The Industrial Revolution delivered perhaps the most dramatic example beginning with cotton mills and textile manufacturing. In Britain, the introduction of power looms and spinning jennies displaced hundreds of thousands of hand-weavers between 1780 and 1840. The infamous Luddite protests of 1811-1816 saw textile workers literally smashing the machines they blamed for their unemployment.2 But by 1850, the textile industry employed more people than ever before, although in different roles requiring new skillsets.

In the last half century, we've witnessed this pattern emerge alongside the digital revolution. The rise of spreadsheet software in the 1980s eliminated countless bookkeeper and accounting clerk positions. Data entry, once a massive employer requiring armies of workers to manually input information from paper forms, has been steadily automated through automatic workflows, machine learning for speech and text, and better backend systems. Basic programming roles, such as those involving repetitive coding tasks, are increasingly handled by code generation tools and low-code platforms. Even report writing, traditionally a creative white-collar task, is being automated in ways never before thought possible.

These menial labor roles all share common characteristics: they involve unchanging operations, low mental load, and predictable patterns, making them prime candidates for automation. Just as the steam engine replaced human muscle power, AI is now set to replace human pattern recognition and cognition for routine tasks.

For over a century, we as a society learned to categorize work based on the setting, between colloquially-named “blue-collar” or labor-based jobs, and “white-collar” or office-setting jobs. Blue-collar work was historically associated with difficult, repetitive labor while white-collar work was coveted for the stimulating work and quiet, climate-controlled environment.

But this binary thinking misses the nuanced reality of modern work. Many labor jobs can be complex and mentally stimulating, and many office jobs can be mind-numbing and repetitive. Realistically, a neurosurgeon and a data entry clerk both wear white-collars to work, but their jobs couldn't be more different in terms of skill requirements, decision-making complexity, and resistance to automation. Meanwhile, a plumber commands higher hourly rates than many MBA graduates precisely because their work requires deep expertise, creative problem-solving, and can't be easily replicated or automated.

The uncomfortable truth is that many white-collar jobs, despite taking place in air-conditioned offices, involve highly repetitive, rule-based work that's surprisingly similar to assembly-line manufacturing. Processing insurance claims, updating customer records, creating routine reports, scheduling appointments. These tasks may require a college degree as a gatekeeper, but they don't require college-level thinking to execute.

This misclassification has created a dangerous blind spot. While blue-collar workers have long understood their vulnerability to automation and have adapted accordingly through skilled trades and specialization, many white-collar workers have remained complacent, assuming their office environment provides immunity from technological disruption.

We're living through an inflection point that makes previous automation waves look like gentle ripples. The rise of artificial intelligence, particularly generative AI, has fundamentally changed the game by enabling automation of cognitive tasks that were previously impossible to systematize.

Unlike the mechanical automation of the past, which required physical robots and extensive investment in hardware, AI automation takes the form of software, which is infinitely scalable, instantly deployable, and improving exponentially. Where it once took massive capital investments to automate a factory floor, companies can now start to build AI agents that handle customer service, generate marketing content, analyze financial reports, and even write code for a fraction of the cost.

The parallels to our historical examples are striking and immediate. Just as the printing press could reproduce manuscripts faster than an army of scribes, today's LLMs (Large Language Models) can generate reports, proposals, and documentation faster than teams of junior analysts. Where cotton mills replaced hand-weavers with mechanical looms, AI is replacing data entry clerks with intelligent document processing systems that can extract, categorize, and input information from any format at superhuman speed.

The productivity leverage effect is already visible for more senior workers. A single marketing director can now oversee AI systems that generate dozens of campaign variations, analyze customer segments, and optimize ad spend in real-time, making a large chunk of their department theoretically redundant. As a developer I’ve personally used AI coding IDEs to write and debug new features in hours instead of days.

Companies around the world are taking notice and acting fast. Klarna, a fintech company that offers short-term financing for consumer purchases, made headlines last year when their AI customer service assistant handled the equivalent work of 700 full-time agents, reducing response times from 11 minutes to under 2 minutes while achieving a 25% reduction in repeat inquiries.3 Notably, however, by late 2024 Klarna began rehiring some human customer service representatives, acknowledging that AI-only customer service had meaningful limitations and that customers still valued having a human option available.4 This reversal illustrates both the promise and current limitations of AI automation.

Despite these mixed results, the trend toward automation continues. And this isn't just about replacing workers. It's about fundamentally restructuring how work gets done. The companies that adapt fastest are becoming leaner, more agile, and more profitable, while their slower competitors struggle with the overhead of human-dependent processes.

Menial digital labor, as we've known it, is experiencing its extinction event, and unlike previous technological transitions, this one is happening at internet speed. However, the reality of AI adoption is more nuanced than initial projections suggested. Recent analysis shows that only 6.1% of American companies are currently incorporating AI into their products or services, which shows modest growth but remains far below the widespread adoption many predicted.5 This suggests that while AI's impact is real and growing, the transformation is happening more gradually than the most biased/aggressive forecasts indicated.

Still, in areas where AI has been successfully deployed, the changes are dramatic. While estimates vary widely, companies implementing AI automation appear to have substantially reduced their administrative and routine cognitive work. Customer service roles have seen significant changes, while data processing positions continue to evolve as AI capabilities improve.

One unique aspect about this transition is that in addition to becoming more efficient, companies are becoming fundamentally smaller and more focused. The traditional corporate pyramid has a broad base of entry-level workers, a smaller base of senior workers, a narrow tier of managers, and a smaller still director and executive cohort. The new paradigm cuts this pyramid at the midline, such that large companies won’t need as many entry-level positions to achieve the same results. Instead, modern AI-powered companies will manage fleets of digital agents as the new corporate frontline.

I expect that this streamlining effect, while cutting the size of individual companies, will result in a larger total number of companies in the economy. When the barrier to starting and operating a business becomes the cost of a few AI software subscriptions and a clear mindset, entrepreneurship becomes accessible to millions more people. Some have even speculated that we will see the first single-person billion-dollar company sometime in the next 5 years.

If you take away one message from this, know that menial digital labor jobs aren't coming back. Just as we don't see job postings for lamp lighters or telephone operators, we're witnessing the last generation of purely routine digital work. The companies and individuals that succeed in this new landscape will be those that embrace this reality instead of fighting it.

If you're currently in a role that involves routine digital tasks, you have a choice: you can be disrupted, or you can be the disruptor. The workers who thrive in this transition will be the ones who embrace the new automation tools available to them.

One approach is to become your own job's disruption consultant. Start by documenting everything you do in a typical week, then identify which tasks you think could be automated with the new AI tools. AI tools today aren’t perfect, but they have surprising capabilities compared to even a few years ago. Anything that involves a lot of text, synthesis, translation, or communication is likely to be automated in the near-future. In addition, keep an open mind about AI tools relevant to your field, experiment with automation platforms, and come to your next performance review with a presentation on how you can 10x your productivity. Show them you’re the type of worker who can take initiative and identify ways to make yourself the beneficiary of AI productivity.

This proactive approach serves two purposes: it demonstrates that you're thinking strategically about the business, and it positions you as the person who understands both the current process and the automated future. Companies will need people who can bridge that gap, because otherwise they will fall behind competitors who more eagerly adopt automated solutions.

From this standpoint, your experience with routine work is an asset, not a liability. You know exactly what can go wrong with these processes, where the edge cases are, and how to structure workflows for optimal results. This institutional knowledge becomes incredibly valuable when designing AI systems that need to handle real-world complexity.

If your current role is clearly on the automation chopping block, start building this skill now. Look for adjacent roles that leverage your existing knowledge but add higher-value components. A data entry specialist might transition to data analysis and visualization. A customer service representative could move into customer success or product feedback analysis. A report writer might become a business intelligence specialist or process improvement consultant.

Remember that successful automation requires human oversight, training, and continuous improvement. The workers who survive and thrive will be those who embrace the uncomfortable truth: if your job can be fully explained in a procedure manual, it can probably be automated. Your goal is to become the person who writes those manuals, continuously improves them, and teaches AI systems to execute them flawlessly.

Looking ahead, I see a future that's both more challenging and more opportunity-rich than today's work landscape. The companies of tomorrow will be radically smaller but produce exponentially more value, enabled by AI systems that handle routine operations with superhuman efficiency and consistency.

When Facebook acquired Instagram in 2012 for $1 billion, it made shocking headlines as the team consisted of only 13 people. Just 2 years later, Facebook also acquired the small, 55-person startup called WhatsApp for $19 billion, a staggering $345 million valuation per employee.6 While at the time these were heavy outliers, I expect that this will become an increasing norm as small companies focus on hyper-scaling with the new wave of AI-powered tools.

The compounding effect over the long term will be extraordinary. Products and services that were previously uneconomical due to high labor costs will suddenly become viable. Niche markets that couldn't support traditional business models will flourish when overhead consists of software subscriptions rather than salaries. We're likely to see an explosion of micro-businesses and specialized services as entrepreneurs discover they can serve smaller market segments profitably.

However, the transition won't be uniform or immediate. As the Klarna example demonstrates, companies are learning that complete automation isn't always optimal. Customers still value human interaction for complex or emotionally sensitive situations. Therefore, the most successful organizations will likely adopt hybrid models that leverage AI for efficiency while maintaining human touch points for relationship building and complex problem-solving.

The workers who position themselves correctly will reap unprecedented benefits. Those who learn to effectively manage and collaborate with AI agents will become the managers and executives of this new economy. They'll command premium salaries not because they can perform routine tasks, but because they can orchestrate complex systems of human and artificial intelligence to achieve business objectives.

But this transition requires a fundamental mindset shift. Instead of viewing AI as a threat to employment, successful workers will see it as the ultimate productivity multiplier. They'll become AI whisperers - people who understand how to squeeze the best performance from artificial systems, design workflows that leverage human creativity and machine efficiency, and navigate the ethical and strategic implications of human-AI collaboration.

The digital automation revolution is here, and whether or not AI eventually becomes self-aware, the version we have today is already enough to bring enormous value to the world. The people who acknowledge this change, and who invest time and capital to apply this new technology paradigm, will be the ones best positioned for success. So, which side of the transformation will you be on?

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