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SpaceX's Starship is key to open the moon for business

Published 1 week ago5 minute read

SpaceX's Starship mega-rocket screamed past the Texas skies only to spin out of control just as it reached space on Thursday.

The vehicle lost contact with ground controllers, fell from space, and exploded, triggering ground stops at airports in southern Florida. It was the second flight in a row where Starship exploded on ascent, which could be a significant setback.

As with every Starship test flight, the entire space industry was watching with bated breath.

A view of Earth out of a spaceship past four gold conical engines.

A view from Starship's skirt looks past its engines out over Earth just minutes before it lost control. SpaceX via X

The lunar gold rush is coming, space experts say, and it needs a fully functional Starship.

Leroy Chiao, a retired NASA astronaut who consulted for SpaceX on its Safety Advisory Panel for 12 years, called Starship "the most exciting thing" since the Apollo era and the construction of the International Space Station.

"I don't think the regular person really understands what a technological leap Starship is," Eric Berger, the author of two books about SpaceX, previously told BI.

It's a larger, fully reusable version of the rocket that flew humans to the moon, he added, "and it's just really audacious."

Though the moon isn't Elon Musk's favorite Starship destination — he's got his eyes on Mars — it may be the rocket's greatest business appeal.

The SpaceX Starship lifts off from Starbase near Boca Chica, Texas, on October 13, 2024, for the Starship Flight 5 test.

The SpaceX Starship lifts off from Starbase near Boca Chica, Texas, on October 13, 2024, for the Starship Flight 5 test. SERGIO FLORES/AFP via Getty Images

That's because it's designed to fly super-heavy payloads all the way to the moon, land on the moon's surface, then launch itself back toward Earth.

On top of that, both stages of the rocket are meant to be reusable, which could slash the cost of spaceflight "by an order of magnitude," Brendan Rosseau, a teaching fellow at Harvard Business School who wrote a book about the space industry and now works for SpaceX competitor Blue Origin, previously told BI.

That reduced-price super-heavy lift is what many companies need to launch their biggest plans for the moon: tourism and mining operations.

Just look at the two Texas-based companies that landed spacecraft on the moon this week.

The Blue Ghost mission by Firefly Aerospace landed on the moon on Sunday, loaded with experiments to test the lunar surface and soil. Intuitive Machines landed on the moon for the second time on Thursday. Its Athena lander is carrying a cellular network and a drilling experiment.

bronze and silver colored shiny spacecraft visible in upper foreground above the curve of the grey cratered moon

A snapshot from footage that Firefly's Blue Ghost mission has captured as it orbits the moon. Firefly Aerospace

Both missions aimed to test technologies that will be critical for mining on the moon although Athena landed sideways, couldn't get enough sunlight on its solar panels, and ended its mission early.

To eventually mine ice and minerals on the moon, companies will need to fly in heavy equipment like harvesters, Steve Altemus, the CEO of Intuitive Machines, told BI in December.

"You have to take larger masses up to the moon to have a sustainable human presence on the moon. Habitats, human landers — there's a lot of elements that have to go into sustaining humans on the moon," Altemus said.

Starship will be able to carry up to 100 metric tons (110 tons) to the moon, SpaceX president and COO Gwynne Shotwell said in a NASA press conference in 2019. That's about 16 James Webb Space Telescopes, or about one quarter of the space station.

Starship 28 re-entering Earth's atmosphere

Starship 28 sent back footage of plasma formation during the spaceship's re-entry to Earth's atmosphere. SpaceX

To put that in perspective, the Saturn V rockets that launched the Apollo missions could only carry 50 tons to the moon.

"In order to have a sustained economy around the moon, I think we need a heavy lift launch vehicle," Altemus said.

Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket could be up to the super-heavy lunar lift task, too, but it's further behind in its development than Starship and only designed to reuse its booster.

white new glenn rocket standing on launch platform

The New Glenn heavy-lift rocket stands at a launchpad at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. Blue Origin

NASA has its own super-heavy lift vehicle, called the Space Launch System, which has flown an uncrewed test flight around the moon.

However, SLS is so behind schedule and over budget that one of its strongest supporters recently called for an "off-ramp" and Boeing is anticipating the program may be canceled, Ars Technica has reported.

The agency has already contracted Starship to land its next astronauts on the moon, putting boots on the lunar surface for the first time since 1972.

SpaceX still needs to prove that Starship can fulfill its promise.

So far, the launch system has flown to space a few times. Its Super Heavy booster has returned to Earth in one piece, caught by a pair of "chopsticks" on the launch tower.

SpaceX's Super Heavy booster as it returned to its launch site, with the sun rising in the background.

Chopsticks catch the Super Heavy booster at its launch site. SpaceX/Getty Images

The Starship spaceship itself has returned from suborbital heights to land on the ground in one piece, but has only returned from space to splash down in the ocean.

Returning from a spaceflight to land on the ground will be a key step in the vehicle's development. That's how SpaceX will someday recycleStarships and fly them again and again.

NASA plans for Starship to put its first astronauts on the moon in 2027. Musk said on X in September that Starship could fly its first crewed flights to Mars in four years.

Both NASA and SpaceX have historically set overly optimistic timelines for those milestones, and both have repeatedly moved their dates back.

"We don't know where Starship is going. Maybe it will never be fully reusable. Maybe they'll never nail rapid reuse of the upper stage," Berger said. Even so, no launch system has ever been so powerful and been able to reuse its booster.

"I think it's going to be revolutionary almost no matter what," he said.

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