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Santander and Barclays cut mortgage rates below 4% as market picks up.

Published 2 months ago2 minute read
. However, more than eight in 10 mortgage customers have fixed-rate deals.

The interest rate on this kind of mortgage does not change until the deal expires, usually after two or five years, and a new one is chosen to replace it.

About 800,000 fixed-rate mortgages, currently with an interest rate of 3% or below, are expected to expire every year, on average, until the end of 2027.

That means a higher monthly bill for many homeowners on their next renewal, but there are signs that the rate they could pay is on its way down.

Line chart showing the average interest rate charged on two-year and five-year fixed mortgage deals from 1 January 2022 to 12 February 2025, according to financial data company Moneyfacts. The average rate on a two-year fixed deal on 1 January 2022 was 2.38%. It then rose to 4.74% on 23 September 2022, the day of former Prime Minister Liz Truss’ mini-Budget, after which it increased more steeply to a peak of 6.65% in late October 2022. It fell back to around 5.30% before hitting another peak of 6.85% in early August 2023. It then fell to a low of 5.36% in early October 2024, before climbing again slightly to 5.48% on 12 February 2025. The trend was broadly similar for five-year fixes, climbing from 2.66% on 1 January 2022 to 4.75% on 23 September 2022, and then peaking at 6.51% in late October 2022. It fell back to around 5.00% before hitting another peak of 6.37% in early August 2023. It then fell to a low of 5.05% in early October 2024, before climbing again slightly to 5.29% on 12 February 2025.

Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey said the interest-rate setting committee expected to be able to cut rates further "but we will have to judge meeting by meeting, how far and how fast".

This will affect savers who are seeing lower returns, but could bring better news for borrowers. The Bank's next rates decision is on 20 March.

The markets and lenders are expecting more base rate cuts this year, seen through so-called swap rates. So, rates for new fixed mortgage deals are predicted to fall - especially as mortgage providers tend to move as a pack.

"It was only a matter of time for lenders to bring back sub-4% mortgages," said Rachel Springall, from financial information service Moneyfacts.

"This is a positive injection to the mortgage market and when a big lender makes such a move, it can prompt its peers to follow suit with cuts of their own.

"The millions of mortgage borrowers looking to refinance this year need some good news."

Eligible borrowers for the sub-4% rates will need a 40% deposit, which will shut off these deals to many borrowers, especially some first-time buyers.

They may also have a relatively large fee, so borrowers will need to check whether the overall value works for them.

More demand for homes from buyers could be generated if mortgage rates fall for a prolonged period.

In its latest survey, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) said that housing market activity was expected to pick up over the coming months following a flat start to the year.

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