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Let's Be Honest, The 2025 Summer Box Office Winner Is Already Obvious

Published 1 day ago5 minute read

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Brad Pitt smiling in F1

Summer at the box office kicked off with the release of Lilo & Stitch and Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning, which made a splash during its opening weekend. However,. With all the opening weekend box office records set by Lilo & Stitch, it looks as though the summer 2025 season will be strong, especially after recent successes like Sinners. With the potential for several billion-dollar movies this year, things look auspicious for a few upcoming films.

The summer box office has been healing after several years affected by both the COVID-19 pandemic and the SAG-AFTRA strikes. The total box office, reported by Box Office Mojo, suffered under this weight whenThis was lower than 2023's decent year, helped by the release of Barbie and Oppenheimer to gross $4 billion Cinemas need business, and the most anticipated summer 2025 movies could help to keep the industry alive and vital. With great pressure on films like Superman, another film looks likely to win the summer box office.

The Quorom, through Puck News, recently shared some tracking information for the upcoming summer 2025 movies, and it appears as though Most notably, interest in the film seems to be increasing over time. Following the release of a great Jurassic World Rebirth trailer, and with more marketing ahead, the film seems to be setting itself up well to make a significant dent in the summer box office.

tracking data from the quorom for summer 2025

Other films are also tracking strongly, with Karate Kid: Legends scoring surprisingly high in both interest and awareness. Superman also has some of the best tracking for this summer, with a score of 56 for awareness and the second highest for interest, at 49. However, these scores appear to have fallen over previous tracking, suggesting a decline in interest.

A T-Rex confronts a girl in a raft in Jurassic Park Rebirth

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The summer could be a strong one beyond this, as However, none of the films on this list seem to be anywhere close to the numbers of Jurassic World. How to Train Your Dragon holds the second-highest awareness score, at 59, but interest in the film is much lower, at 44. With all of this in mind, circumstances seem to be setting up for Jurassic World Rebirth to potentially be the biggest movie of the summer.

Even though there are many reasons to suspect Rebirth will not connect, such as the fact that it is the first Jurassic World that will not show in IMAX, or the declining quality perceived in the franchise, the new film still has a great chance to connect. Following the most anticipated June releases of films like Ballerina and F1, With the film opening before Superman and The Fantastic Four, it will also have some runway as the biggest series in the multiplex.

Release Date

Movie

Opening Weekend

Worldwide Box Office

Jun 10, 2022

Jurassic World: Dominion

$145,075,625

$1,004,004,592

Jun 22, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

$148,024,610

$1,308,323,302

Jun 12, 2015

Jurassic World

$208,806,270

$1,671,063,641

Jul 18, 2001

Jurassic Park III

$50,771,645

$365,900,000

May 22, 1997

The Lost World: Jurassic Park

$72,132,785

$618,638,999

Jun 11, 1993

Jurassic Park

$50,159,460

$1,058,454,230

There are some reasons to doubt Rebirth's box office potential. , and audience distaste for the brand grew as each film was more poorly received than the last.However, the filmmakers have worked to essentially reboot the franchise with this new installment. With a new cast and creative team and a tone that harkens back to creating the terror from the original Jurassic Park, it seems likely that audiences will be willing to give this series another chance.

The most recent Jurassic World Dominion made a fortune at the box office, but the Rotten Tomatoes score for the film sits at a low 29% with critics. The film spent its marketing focusing on tying all the stories together, bringing in the Jurassic Park and Jurassic World characters together, and culminating in what was supposed to be an exciting and important story. However, the plot of that film became muddy and confusing, and

The original rumored title for Jurassic World Rebirth was Jurassic City, emphasizing a new direction for the franchise overall.

Fortunately, Rebirth seems to be recognizing this and looks to iterate on this theme instead. Thrown together quickly, with the film being announced just over a year ago, the upcoming installment The new movie has brought in the beloved Scarlett Johansson as the lead and has abandoned the park settings of the World franchise to create a smaller, more action-centric story. The film's marketing has highlighted the horror and adventure rather than the plot, calling to mind comparisons to Jurassic Park III.

Another clear point of comparison to Jurassic World is the Transformers franchise. Similarly, those films were based on a popular property, and each one was more poorly received than the last. However, poor reception to Age of Extinction hurt the series, causing subsequent installments to fail at the box office. Following that trajectory, Rebirth needs to be beloved to save the franchise.

Jonathan Bailey holding a dinosaur egg in Jurassic World Rebirth

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With Gareth Edwards coming in to direct, and David Koepp returning to write for the first time since The Lost World: Jurassic Park, The new film looks to reinvigorate the franchise, and box office tracking is making it look increasingly likely that Jurassic World Rebirth could be the biggest movie of summer 2025. Whether or not this happens, it's all but assured to be a big hit for Universal when it releases in July.

Source: Puck News

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