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Kenneth Andrade's insights on market correction and Budget expectations

Published 1 month ago2 minute read

Market peaking & consolidation

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Kenneth Andrade believes the market had a great run, especially post-pandemic, but it’s time for a breather. The rapid growth over the past two years needs to correct itself, and consolidation at current levels would help stabilize valuations. This period will allow the market to settle down after the excesses of recent years.

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The "out of jail card" for markets

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The market’s future will be influenced by factors like Fed policies, tariffs, and earnings, but often it’s something unexpected that drives change. Key concerns include high valuations and a reliance on government spending. Andrade believes two years of slow growth could help prices normalize and allow valuations to adjust.

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Expectations from the budget

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Short-term tax cuts could boost consumer spending, but for long-term growth, corporations need to invest more. A major concern is the lack of corporate capex. The true impact of the budget will only be clear once it's announced and its effects can be evaluated.

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Impact of LTCG & STCG changes

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Changes to LTCG or STCG taxes could affect market sentiment but won't cause significant market corrections. While it may shake confidence temporarily, Andrade believes the market will adjust over time without major consequences.

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Small and midcap stocks

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Small and midcap stocks have seen inflated valuations, and expectations for these businesses have been too high. Many are being valued as large companies, even though their growth doesn’t support such valuations. Andrade advises caution and suggests focusing on identifying strong companies for long-term investment.

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Market strategy

Andrade recommends a patient approach. Rather than chasing quick profits, investors should take time to identify solid companies and funds. Let the market correct itself, and focus on long-term opportunities rather than short-term gains.

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What should investors do?

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The market is in a phase of consolidation after strong growth. High valuations, lack of corporate investment, and government spending are key factors to watch. Small and midcap stocks remain vulnerable due to inflated valuations, so investors should approach with caution and patience.

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Economic Times
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