The Houston Rockets have concluded the 2024-25 regular season with an impressive second-best record in the Western Conference. This achievement, however, leads them to an uncertain first-round matchup in the playoffs, awaiting the outcome of the Play-In Tournament game between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Golden State Warriors. As the Rockets gear up for the postseason, fans and analysts are actively debating which opponent would present a more favorable matchup.

The Rockets vs. Grizzlies Potential Matchup

The Memphis Grizzlies, reminiscent of the Rockets' current trajectory, are known for their youthful exuberance, athletic prowess, and a robust team culture previously spearheaded by Dillon Brooks, now a Rocket himself. Despite the Rockets seemingly having taken over their niche, the Grizzlies bring valuable playoff experience to the table. Ja Morant, Memphis’s franchise player, boasts an average of 27.3 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 8.6 assists in his 19 playoff games, showcasing his superstar creator abilities – a trait some argue the Rockets lack with their by-committee offensive approach. However, Houston's balanced offense has proven effective, evident in their 3-1 regular-season record against Memphis.

The potential center matchup between Alperen Sengun and the Grizzlies’ towering Zach Edey presents an intriguing dynamic. While some anticipate Sengun's post play to be a key factor, the Rockets might opt for utilizing Steven Adams to counter Edey's size. Despite their playoff experience, the Grizzlies have struggled to maintain consistency against top-tier teams, marked by coaching changes and an inability to string together wins against strong opponents. This inconsistency may make them a preferable first-round opponent for the Rockets compared to the Warriors.

The Rockets vs. Warriors Potential Matchup

The Rockets have recent experience defeating the Golden State Warriors, including a crucial victory late in the season that solidified their two-seed position. This win, however, was hard-fought, with the Rockets employing aggressive defensive strategies to contain Stephen Curry, resulting in one of his lowest-scoring games of the season. The Warriors voiced concerns over the physicality allowed during the game, a sentiment echoed by Rockets’ head coach Ime Udoka’s satisfaction with his team’s defensive intensity.

While the playoffs are often characterized by increased physicality, its application can vary significantly. Over a seven-game series, an overly aggressive defensive strategy against Curry might falter due to adjustments in the Warriors’ game plan or changes in officiating. The Warriors, led by Curry and Draymond Green, bring championship pedigree and a history of success. They have had a remarkable 15-game winning streak against the Rockets, though many occurred during Houston's rebuilding phase. One concern for the Rockets is Jalen Green's struggles against the Warriors, where he has shot poorly. If Green can improve his performance against them, it would significantly benefit the Rockets.

Final Thoughts

Both potential matchups pose unique challenges for the Rockets. The Western Conference is fraught with tough opponents, and there are no easy paths to the title. Many Rockets fans would prefer to avoid facing Curry's Warriors, given their championship experience and ability to exploit defensive weaknesses. However, the Warriors' track record in Play-In Tournament games, where they are 0-3, might offer some solace to Houston fans.

Regardless of the opponent, the 2024-25 season has already been a resounding success for the young Rockets. Their progress and growth have exceeded expectations, setting a strong foundation for the future. While the team will undoubtedly approach the playoffs with determination and a desire to advance, the organization will be hoping for one matchup over the other.