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Both teams have shown in previous matchups that strong defense will be the key to success, and the team that performs better in that area will likely move on to the Final Four. AEK and Nanterre have both struggled offensively in certain quarters, and considering the high stakes, every open look will have to be earned. Both teams also aim to minimize turnovers and will likely opt for more composed offensive possessions, suggesting we could see a lower-scoring game than expected.

Despite losing both regular-season matchups to Barcelona, the overall balance of power favors Monaco. They simply have more depth and talent on the perimeter, and they’re clearly the more physical team defensively. On top of that, they have home-court advantage in this one. The only real edge Barcelona holds is their superior three-point shooting, but even if they’re hot from deep, it may not be enough to cover the spread. And if the shots aren’t falling, this could turn into a blowout win for Monaco in the Principality.

Alba Berlin is a team that can definitely respond to the opponent’s style of play. Wurzburg is a team that struggles significantly with defensive rebounding, while their opponent is one of the strongest offensive teams. Additionally, the home team relies heavily on individual plays, whereas Alba Berlin has the defensive capability to match up with them. The visitors have notably improved their shooting, and with a deeper rotation, they have a good chance of securing the win.

Picks:

AEK Athens vs Nanterre under 159.5 points
Monaco -3.5
Alba Berlin -1.5

*Odds are active at the time the article is published

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