section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Brady Corbet’s “The Brutalist” has a legitimate shot at sweeping the weekend. Suppose it claims victory at the Critics Choice Awards, the Producers Guild of America Awards, and the Directors Guild of America Awards. In that case, we can officially retire the “wide open race” narrative. A clean sweep would solidify its status as the undisputed frontrunner — especially since the PGA’s preferential ballot tends to favor consensus picks, and A24’s historical epic fits that mold. But come on, when has awards season ever played out so neatly?

At DGA, Corbet is the odds-on favorite, but don’t count out veteran filmmaker James Mangold, whose Bob Dylan biopic, “A Complete Unknown,” has gained momentum recently. Mangold is deeply respected in Hollywood, and that goodwill — combined with the film’s recent surge — could make him a real threat in the directing race.

Critics Choice Awards Predictions for Best Director: Brady Corbet
DGA Predictions: Brady Corbet

The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. All movie listings, titles, distributors, and credited artisans are not final and are subject to change.